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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 2 December 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233144
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 19
  4. 25
  5. 28
  6. 4

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 39% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,372 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-11-29All recent draws2023-12-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 12 19 25 28 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 19 25 28 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 242 of each

11235times
12235times
19218times
25224times
28

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 983k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • rang612%€463.0K
  • rang836%€1.4M
  • rang926%€1.0M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

239times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

4238times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,371 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 19, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 June 2023 — its closest relative in 2,371 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 November 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang24≈ 3.3 by chance€61,503
  • rang3125≈ 80 by chance€480
  • rang41,076≈ 718 by chance€201
  • rang54,178≈ 3.4k by chance€30.90
  • rang637,952≈ 31k by chance€12.20
  • rang747,925≈ 48k by chance€7.50
  • rang8432,018≈ 432k by chance€3.30
  • rang9459,362€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,076 winners, 50% more than the 718 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang24€61,503
    rang3125€480
    rang41,076€201
    rang54,178€30.90
    rang637,952€12.20
    rang747,925€7.50
    rang8432,018€3.30
    rang9459,362€2.20