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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 1 November 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233131
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 27
  4. 32
  5. 46
  6. 1

Jackpot€9,000,000

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,359 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-10-30All recent draws2023-11-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 16 27 32 46 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 27 32 46 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 241 of each

1249times
16248times
27245times
32233times
46

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 527k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang613%€372.7K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang921%€608.6K
  • 4 other tiers28%€812.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

239times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

1246times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,358 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 27, 46) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 October 2022 — its closest relative in 2,358 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 October 2023): 1 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€9,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.6 by chance€197,405
  • rang324≈ 40 by chance€10,233
  • rang4289≈ 358 by chance€601
  • rang51,150≈ 1.7k by chance€90.30
  • rang613,552≈ 15k by chance€27.50
  • rang719,298≈ 24k by chance€15.00
  • rang8215,753≈ 216k by chance€5.30
  • rang9276,650€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,150 winners, 33% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€9,000,000
    rang20€197,405
    rang324€10,233
    rang4289€601
    rang51,150€90.30
    rang613,552€27.50
    rang719,298€15.00
    rang8215,753€5.30
    rang9276,650€2.20