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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 13 September 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233110
  1. 11
  2. 27
  3. 30
  4. 48
  5. 49
  6. 8

Jackpot€16,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,338 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-09-11All recent draws2023-09-16 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 27 30 48 49 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 27 30 48 49 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

11233times
27241times
30223times
48229times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-13

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 793k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang611%€401.5K
  • rang835%€1.2M
  • rang928%€990.0K
  • 5 other tiers25%€874.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

241times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 234 of each

8208times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,337 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (27, 30, 48, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 November 2017 — its closest relative in 2,337 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

165

The numbers add up to 165 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€16,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.2 by chance€106,293
  • rang357≈ 53 by chance€910
  • rang4454≈ 478 by chance€412
  • rang52,236≈ 2.3k by chance€50.00
  • rang619,682≈ 21k by chance€20.40
  • rang733,439≈ 32k by chance€9.30
  • rang8287,558≈ 288k by chance€4.30
  • rang9449,992€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 33,439 winners, 5% more than the 32k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€16,000,000
    rang22€106,293
    rang357€910
    rang4454€412
    rang52,236€50.00
    rang619,682€20.40
    rang733,439€9.30
    rang8287,558€4.30
    rang9449,992€2.20