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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 28 August 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233103
  1. 9
  2. 23
  3. 28
  4. 35
  5. 37
  6. 7

Jackpot€9,000,000

The crowdHeld 30% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,331 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-08-26All recent draws2023-08-30 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 23 28 35 37 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 23 28 35 37 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

9242times
23245times
28235times
35250times
37

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-28

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 694k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang610%€264.5K
  • rang831%€810.7K
  • rang937%€960.9K
  • 5 other tiers22%€575.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

238times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

7257times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,330 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

This exact draw has happened before, on 24 January 2018. Chance gave a match this close a 0.1% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€9,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.6 by chance€70,131
  • rang353≈ 38 by chance€646
  • rang4366≈ 345 by chance€337
  • rang52,224≈ 1.6k by chance€33.10
  • rang614,534≈ 15k by chance€18.20
  • rang732,429≈ 23k by chance€6.30
  • rang8207,882≈ 208k by chance€3.90
  • rang9436,753€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 32,429 winners, 40% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€9,000,000
    rang22€70,131
    rang353€646
    rang4366€337
    rang52,224€33.10
    rang614,534€18.20
    rang732,429€6.30
    rang8207,882€3.90
    rang9436,753€2.20