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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 15 May 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #2023058
  1. 7
  2. 9
  3. 12
  4. 29
  5. 48
  6. 4

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,286 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-05-13All recent draws2023-05-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 9 12 29 48 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 9 12 29 48 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

7240times
9234times
12223times
29243times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.3Mto 562k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang147%€2.0M
  • rang819%€825.6K
  • rang914%€592.5K
  • 6 other tiers20%€862.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

225times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 229 of each

4227times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,285 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 12, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 February 2023 — its closest relative in 2,285 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2023): 9 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.8 by chance€71,955
  • rang342≈ 45 by chance€836
  • rang4583≈ 403 by chance€217
  • rang52,201≈ 1.9k by chance€34.30
  • rang621,065≈ 17k by chance€12.90
  • rang726,204≈ 27k by chance€8.00
  • rang8242,831≈ 243k by chance€3.40
  • rang9269,316€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 21,065 winners, 21% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang22€71,955
    rang342€836
    rang4583€217
    rang52,201€34.30
    rang621,065€12.90
    rang726,204€8.00
    rang8242,831€3.40
    rang9269,316€2.20