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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 19 April 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233047
  1. 5
  2. 34
  3. 41
  4. 43
  5. 46
  6. 5

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 37% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,275 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-04-17All recent draws2023-04-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 34 41 43 46 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 34 41 43 46 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

5233times
34221times
41271times
43233times
46

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-19

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.3Mto 717k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang611%€362.1K
  • rang834%€1.1M
  • rang932%€1.0M
  • 5 other tiers24%€787.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

232times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

5245times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,274 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (34, 41, 43, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 December 2014 — its closest relative in 2,274 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 April 2023): 43 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.5 by chance€95,811
  • rang335≈ 37 by chance€1,336
  • rang4245≈ 336 by chance€689
  • rang51,761≈ 1.6k by chance€57.20
  • rang613,121≈ 14k by chance€27.60
  • rang726,651≈ 22k by chance€10.50
  • rang8202,254≈ 202k by chance€5.50
  • rang9473,229€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 26,651 winners, 19% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€15,000,000
    rang22€95,811
    rang335€1,336
    rang4245€689
    rang51,761€57.20
    rang613,121€27.60
    rang726,651€10.50
    rang8202,254€5.50
    rang9473,229€2.20