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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 22 March 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233035
  1. 12
  2. 20
  3. 24
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 2

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,263 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-03-20All recent draws2023-03-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 20 24 33 38 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 20 24 33 38 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

12219times
20226times
24235times
33235times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-22

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 566k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang612%€340.9K
  • rang838%€1.0M
  • rang923%€620.0K
  • 5 other tiers27%€744.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

254times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

2210times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,262 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 20, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 April 2022 — its closest relative in 2,262 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 March 2023): 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.8 by chance€60,203
  • rang338≈ 45 by chance€1,160
  • rang4347≈ 401 by chance€458
  • rang51,625≈ 1.9k by chance€58.40
  • rang617,306≈ 17k by chance€19.70
  • rang722,894≈ 27k by chance€11.60
  • rang8241,483≈ 241k by chance€4.30
  • rang9281,818€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,625 winners, 15% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang23€60,203
    rang338€1,160
    rang4347€458
    rang51,625€58.40
    rang617,306€19.70
    rang722,894€11.60
    rang8241,483€4.30
    rang9281,818€2.20