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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 11 March 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233030
  1. 6
  2. 14
  3. 18
  4. 33
  5. 34
  6. 6

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,258 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-03-08All recent draws2023-03-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 14 18 33 34 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 14 18 33 34 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 230 of each

6233times
14219times
18214times
33234times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 854k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€495.9K
  • rang837%€1.5M
  • rang925%€1.0M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

217times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

6209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,257 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 18, 33, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 February 2013 — its closest relative in 2,257 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.5 by chance€131,268
  • rang354≈ 61 by chance€1,187
  • rang4471≈ 545 by chance€491
  • rang52,500≈ 2.6k by chance€55.20
  • rang622,038≈ 23k by chance€22.50
  • rang735,969≈ 36k by chance€10.70
  • rang8328,319≈ 328k by chance€4.60
  • rang9464,964€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 471 winners, 14% fewer than the 545 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang22€131,268
    rang354€1,187
    rang4471€491
    rang52,500€55.20
    rang622,038€22.50
    rang735,969€10.70
    rang8328,319€4.60
    rang9464,964€2.20