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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 4 January 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233002
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 25
  4. 38
  5. 49
  6. 10

Jackpot€12,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,230 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-01-02All recent draws2023-01-07 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 5 25 38 49 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 25 38 49 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

3227times
5224times
25209times
38249times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.4Mto 688k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang612%€430.1K
  • rang838%€1.3M
  • rang922%€763.0K
  • 5 other tiers27%€938.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

231times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

10222times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,229 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 25, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 September 2022 — its closest relative in 2,229 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 January 2023): 49 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€12,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.2 by chance€113,844
  • rang338≈ 54 by chance€1,462
  • rang4475≈ 485 by chance€422
  • rang51,857≈ 2.3k by chance€64.50
  • rang620,100≈ 21k by chance€21.40
  • rang727,199≈ 32k by chance€12.30
  • rang8291,834≈ 292k by chance€4.50
  • rang9346,824€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,857 winners, 20% fewer than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€12,000,000
    rang22€113,844
    rang338€1,462
    rang4475€422
    rang51,857€64.50
    rang620,100€21.40
    rang727,199€12.30
    rang8291,834€4.50
    rang9346,824€2.20