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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 17 December 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222151
  1. 8
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 42
  5. 46
  6. 3

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,222 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-12-14All recent draws2022-12-19 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 23 27 42 46 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 23 27 42 46 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 December 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

8202times
23236times
27232times
42208times
46

Prize breakdown · 2022-12-17

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 897k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • rang611%€447.5K
  • rang835%€1.4M
  • rang929%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers25%€972.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

3218times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,221 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 23, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 April 2022 — its closest relative in 2,221 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 December 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.4 by chance€78,851
  • rang344≈ 58 by chance€1,312
  • rang4498≈ 523 by chance€418
  • rang52,521≈ 2.5k by chance€49.30
  • rang621,209≈ 22k by chance€21.10
  • rang738,834≈ 35k by chance€8.90
  • rang8314,624≈ 315k by chance€4.30
  • rang9518,843€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 38,834 winners, 11% more than the 35k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang23€78,851
    rang344€1,312
    rang4498€418
    rang52,521€49.30
    rang621,209€21.10
    rang738,834€8.90
    rang8314,624€4.30
    rang9518,843€2.20