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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 12 December 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222149
  1. 2
  2. 25
  3. 35
  4. 46
  5. 47
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,220 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-12-10All recent draws2022-12-14 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 25 35 46 47 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 25 35 46 47 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 December 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

2221times
25208times
35229times
46227times
47

Prize breakdown · 2022-12-12

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 407k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • rang612%€288.5K
  • rang838%€880.3K
  • rang922%€514.0K
  • 4 other tiers27%€628.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

217times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

10220times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,219 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 25, 35, 47) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 November 2020 — its closest relative in 2,219 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 December 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 46–47. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.1 by chance€152,631
  • rang325≈ 28 by chance€7,595
  • rang4162≈ 248 by chance€829
  • rang5920≈ 1.2k by chance€87.20
  • rang69,043≈ 11k by chance€31.90
  • rang714,355≈ 17k by chance€15.60
  • rang8149,202≈ 149k by chance€5.90
  • rang9233,643€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 920 winners, 22% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€152,631
    rang325€7,595
    rang4162€829
    rang5920€87.20
    rang69,043€31.90
    rang714,355€15.60
    rang8149,202€5.90
    rang9233,643€2.20