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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 30 November 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222144
  1. 18
  2. 28
  3. 30
  4. 44
  5. 49
  6. 5

Jackpot€23,000,000

The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,215 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-11-28All recent draws2022-12-03 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official18 28 30 44 49 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed18 28 30 44 49 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

18209times
28223times
30215times
44234times
49

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-30

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.6Mto 844k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang611%€408.4K
  • rang834%€1.2M
  • rang930%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers25%€892.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

5237times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,214 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 30, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 November 2018 — its closest relative in 2,214 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 November 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€23,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.2 by chance€108,282
  • rang342≈ 53 by chance€1,259
  • rang4391≈ 478 by chance€488
  • rang52,308≈ 2.3k by chance€49.30
  • rang618,647≈ 21k by chance€21.90
  • rang735,763≈ 32k by chance€8.90
  • rang8287,681≈ 288k by chance€4.30
  • rang9499,410€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 35,763 winners, 12% more than the 32k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€23,000,000
    rang22€108,282
    rang342€1,259
    rang4391€488
    rang52,308€49.30
    rang618,647€21.90
    rang735,763€8.90
    rang8287,681€4.30
    rang9499,410€2.20