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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 5 November 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222133
  1. 6
  2. 23
  3. 32
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 10

Jackpot€12,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,204 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-11-02All recent draws2022-11-07 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 23 32 38 40 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 23 32 38 40 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

6224times
23232times
32216times
38246times
40

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.6Mto 856k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€569.3K
  • rang838%€1.8M
  • rang922%€1.0M
  • 4 other tiers27%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 220 of each

10219times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,203 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 23, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,203 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 November 2022): 38 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€12,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.5 by chance€301,406
  • rang342≈ 61 by chance€8,928
  • rang4492≈ 550 by chance€539
  • rang52,131≈ 2.6k by chance€74.40
  • rang622,326≈ 24k by chance€25.50
  • rang730,894≈ 37k by chance€14.30
  • rang8330,863≈ 331k by chance€5.30
  • rang9468,882€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,131 winners, 19% fewer than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€12,000,000
    rang20€301,406
    rang342€8,928
    rang4492€539
    rang52,131€74.40
    rang622,326€25.50
    rang730,894€14.30
    rang8330,863€5.30
    rang9468,882€2.20