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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 31 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222131
  1. 4
  2. 25
  3. 34
  4. 44
  5. 45
  6. 7

Jackpot€10,000,000

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,202 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-29All recent draws2022-11-02 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 25 34 44 45 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 25 34 44 45 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 225 of each

4228times
25206times
34209times
44231times
45

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.6Mto 875k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang610%€367.0K
  • rang831%€1.1M
  • rang936%€1.3M
  • 4 other tiers22%€796.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

214times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 220 of each

7241times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,201 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 25, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 October 2020 — its closest relative in 2,201 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 October 2022): 44 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.8 by chance€193,828
  • rang336≈ 45 by chance€6,698
  • rang4359≈ 404 by chance€475
  • rang52,165≈ 1.9k by chance€47.00
  • rang615,818≈ 17k by chance€23.20
  • rang735,395≈ 27k by chance€8.00
  • rang8243,267≈ 243k by chance€4.60
  • rang9578,060€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 35,395 winners, 31% more than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€10,000,000
    rang20€193,828
    rang336€6,698
    rang4359€475
    rang52,165€47.00
    rang615,818€23.20
    rang735,395€8.00
    rang8243,267€4.60
    rang9578,060€2.20