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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 26 October 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222129
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 23
  4. 30
  5. 45
  6. 5

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,200 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-10-24All recent draws2022-10-29 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 4 23 30 45 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 23 30 45 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 224 of each

2216times
4227times
23231times
30213times
45

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-26

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.7Mto 641k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang153%€3.0M
  • rang816%€905.6K
  • rang915%€837.5K
  • 6 other tiers17%€945.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

213times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 220 of each

5234times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,199 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 23, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,199 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.6 by chance€157,545
  • rang343≈ 40 by chance€894
  • rang4286≈ 358 by chance€485
  • rang51,935≈ 1.7k by chance€42.80
  • rang614,514≈ 15k by chance€20.50
  • rang728,411≈ 24k by chance€8.10
  • rang8215,612≈ 216k by chance€4.20
  • rang9380,692€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 28,411 winners, 19% more than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€3,000,000
    rang21€157,545
    rang343€894
    rang4286€485
    rang51,935€42.80
    rang614,514€20.50
    rang728,411€8.10
    rang8215,612€4.20
    rang9380,692€2.20