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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 26 September 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222116
  1. 18
  2. 29
  3. 35
  4. 39
  5. 49
  6. 1

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,187 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-09-24All recent draws2022-09-28 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official18 29 35 39 49 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed18 29 35 39 49 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

18208times
29235times
35224times
39196times
49

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-26

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 409k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • rang613%€298.9K
  • rang839%€920.8K
  • rang920%€480.3K
  • 4 other tiers28%€651.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

226times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 219 of each

1231times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,186 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 29, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 July 2022 — its closest relative in 2,186 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

170

The numbers add up to 170 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.2 by chance€158,033
  • rang321≈ 30 by chance€9,362
  • rang4202≈ 273 by chance€689
  • rang5971≈ 1.3k by chance€85.60
  • rang611,407≈ 12k by chance€26.20
  • rang713,927≈ 18k by chance€16.70
  • rang8164,424≈ 164k by chance€5.60
  • rang9218,299€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 971 winners, 26% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang20€158,033
    rang321€9,362
    rang4202€689
    rang5971€85.60
    rang611,407€26.20
    rang713,927€16.70
    rang8164,424€5.60
    rang9218,299€2.20