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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 22 August 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222101
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 39
  4. 44
  5. 46
  6. 9

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,172 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-08-20All recent draws2022-08-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 9 39 44 46 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 39 44 46 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

2214times
9224times
39192times
44226times
46

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 560k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang612%€320.3K
  • rang836%€979.3K
  • rang927%€730.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%€696.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

221times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

9226times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,171 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 9, 44, 46) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 April 2017 — its closest relative in 2,171 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 August 2022): 46 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.4 by chance€169,498
  • rang335≈ 35 by chance€1,182
  • rang4216≈ 319 by chance€691
  • rang51,380≈ 1.5k by chance€64.60
  • rang611,688≈ 14k by chance€27.40
  • rang722,308≈ 21k by chance€11.10
  • rang8192,021≈ 192k by chance€5.10
  • rang9332,182€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 11,688 winners, 15% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€11,000,000
    rang21€169,498
    rang335€1,182
    rang4216€691
    rang51,380€64.60
    rang611,688€27.40
    rang722,308€11.10
    rang8192,021€5.10
    rang9332,182€2.20