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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 4 July 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222080
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 18
  4. 20
  5. 26
  6. 8

Jackpot€15,000,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,151 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-07-02All recent draws2022-07-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 12 18 20 26 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 18 20 26 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd1th
  • low89th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 219 of each

4221times
12208times
18206times
20214times
26

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 721k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang612%€344.8K
  • rang836%€1.1M
  • rang927%€800.4K
  • 5 other tiers25%€748.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

232times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 215 of each

8195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,150 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 18, 20, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 October 2013 — its closest relative in 2,150 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 July 2022): 20 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€15,000,000
  • rang26≈ 2.2 by chance€30,410
  • rang386≈ 54 by chance€518
  • rang4827≈ 489 by chance€194
  • rang52,923≈ 2.3k by chance€32.80
  • rang625,927≈ 21k by chance€13.30
  • rang733,595≈ 33k by chance€7.90
  • rang8294,279≈ 294k by chance€3.60
  • rang9363,818€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,923 winners, 25% more than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€15,000,000
    rang26€30,410
    rang386€518
    rang4827€194
    rang52,923€32.80
    rang625,927€13.30
    rang733,595€7.90
    rang8294,279€3.60
    rang9363,818€2.20