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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 28 March 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222038
  1. 5
  2. 16
  3. 21
  4. 26
  5. 48
  6. 10

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 40% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,109 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-03-26All recent draws2022-03-30 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 16 21 26 48 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 16 21 26 48 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 March 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 215 of each

5213times
16225times
21205times
26226times
48

Prize breakdown · 2022-03-28

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 430k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang613%€281.4K
  • rang839%€850.3K
  • rang921%€450.5K
  • 4 other tiers28%€611.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

207times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each

10204times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,108 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 16, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 March 2022 — its closest relative in 2,108 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 March 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.5 by chance€148,634
  • rang326≈ 36 by chance€7,112
  • rang4301≈ 321 by chance€435
  • rang51,170≈ 1.5k by chance€66.80
  • rang614,210≈ 14k by chance€19.80
  • rang715,864≈ 21k by chance€13.70
  • rang8193,252≈ 193k by chance€4.40
  • rang9204,791€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 15,864 winners, 26% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang20€148,634
    rang326€7,112
    rang4301€435
    rang51,170€66.80
    rang614,210€19.80
    rang715,864€13.70
    rang8193,252€4.40
    rang9204,791€2.20