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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 21 February 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222023
  1. 2
  2. 6
  3. 10
  4. 17
  5. 32
  6. 5

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,094 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-02-19All recent draws2022-02-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 6 10 17 32 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 6 10 17 32 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 February 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd9th
  • low89th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 214 of each

2208times
6215times
10206times
17216times
32

Prize breakdown · 2022-02-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 600k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang611%€269.5K
  • rang834%€825.3K
  • rang931%€738.8K
  • 5 other tiers24%€585.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

202times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each

5225times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,093 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 17, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 January 2022 — its closest relative in 2,093 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 February 2022): 32 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

67

The numbers add up to 67 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.6 by chance€142,502
  • rang339≈ 40 by chance€892
  • rang4358≈ 361 by chance€350
  • rang52,182≈ 1.7k by chance€34.30
  • rang616,741≈ 16k by chance€16.10
  • rang728,032≈ 24k by chance€7.40
  • rang8217,193≈ 217k by chance€3.80
  • rang9335,835€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,182 winners, 27% more than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€142,502
    rang339€892
    rang4358€350
    rang52,182€34.30
    rang616,741€16.10
    rang728,032€7.40
    rang8217,193€3.80
    rang9335,835€2.20