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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 5 February 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222016
  1. 11
  2. 24
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 48
  6. 9

Jackpot€9,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,087 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-02-02All recent draws2022-02-07 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official11 24 31 38 48 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed11 24 31 38 48 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 213 of each

11209times
24210times
31219times
38230times
48

Prize breakdown · 2022-02-05

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • rang612%€553.3K
  • rang836%€1.7M
  • rang927%€1.3M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

205times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each

9218times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,086 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 24, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 October 2018 — its closest relative in 2,086 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 February 2022): 11 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€9,000,000
  • rang24≈ 2.8 by chance€73,280
  • rang367≈ 69 by chance€1,068
  • rang4637≈ 622 by chance€405
  • rang52,931≈ 3.0k by chance€52.60
  • rang625,618≈ 27k by chance€21.60
  • rang741,974≈ 42k by chance€10.20
  • rang8374,153≈ 374k by chance€4.50
  • rang9585,842€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 25,618 winners, 4% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€9,000,000
    rang24€73,280
    rang367€1,068
    rang4637€405
    rang52,931€52.60
    rang625,618€21.60
    rang741,974€10.20
    rang8374,153€4.50
    rang9585,842€2.20