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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 8 January 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222004
  1. 17
  2. 22
  3. 25
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 10

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,075 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-01-05All recent draws2022-01-10 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official17 22 25 42 43 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed17 22 25 42 43 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 212 of each

17214times
22239times
25196times
42200times
43

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-08

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 817k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • rang613%€535.6K
  • rang838%€1.6M
  • rang922%€916.4K
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

215times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

10200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,074 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 22, 25, 43) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 February 2017 — its closest relative in 2,074 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 January 2022): 17 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.6 by chance€282,968
  • rang336≈ 64 by chance€1,918
  • rang4411≈ 576 by chance€606
  • rang51,918≈ 2.8k by chance€77.60
  • rang622,225≈ 25k by chance€24.10
  • rang729,210≈ 39k by chance€14.20
  • rang8346,628≈ 347k by chance€4.70
  • rang9416,551€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,918 winners, 30% fewer than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€282,968
    rang336€1,918
    rang4411€606
    rang51,918€77.60
    rang622,225€24.10
    rang729,210€14.20
    rang8346,628€4.70
    rang9416,551€2.20