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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 29 December 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211156
  1. 18
  2. 21
  3. 33
  4. 48
  5. 49
  6. 7

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,071 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-12-27All recent draws2022-01-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official18 21 33 48 49 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed18 21 33 48 49 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each

18201times
21199times
33215times
48204times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-29

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 788k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang610%€289.6K
  • rang830%€883.8K
  • rang939%€1.2M
  • 4 other tiers21%€628.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

214times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

7227times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,070 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 33, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 October 2020 — its closest relative in 2,070 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.6 by chance€153,215
  • rang364≈ 39 by chance€2,978
  • rang4319≈ 350 by chance€423
  • rang52,415≈ 1.7k by chance€33.30
  • rang614,702≈ 15k by chance€19.70
  • rang735,855≈ 23k by chance€6.20
  • rang8210,433≈ 210k by chance€4.20
  • rang9524,633€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 35,855 winners, 53% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang20€153,215
    rang364€2,978
    rang4319€423
    rang52,415€33.30
    rang614,702€19.70
    rang735,855€6.20
    rang8210,433€4.20
    rang9524,633€2.20