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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 25 December 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211154
  1. 6
  2. 21
  3. 25
  4. 37
  5. 48
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,069 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-12-22All recent draws2021-12-27 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 21 25 37 48 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 21 25 37 48 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum65th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each

6211times
21198times
25195times
37211times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.4Mto 636k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang613%€435.8K
  • rang839%€1.3M
  • rang921%€715.3K
  • 4 other tiers28%€947.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

203times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

10199times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,068 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 25, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 July 2021 — its closest relative in 2,068 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.0 by chance€230,343
  • rang348≈ 49 by chance€5,970
  • rang4375≈ 445 by chance€541
  • rang51,548≈ 2.1k by chance€78.20
  • rang618,311≈ 19k by chance€23.80
  • rang723,097≈ 30k by chance€14.60
  • rang8267,820≈ 268k by chance€5.00
  • rang9325,137€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,548 winners, 27% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€230,343
    rang348€5,970
    rang4375€541
    rang51,548€78.20
    rang618,311€23.80
    rang723,097€14.60
    rang8267,820€5.00
    rang9325,137€2.20