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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 4 December 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211145
  1. 5
  2. 18
  3. 23
  4. 34
  5. 44
  6. 5

Jackpot€30,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,060 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-12-01All recent draws2021-12-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 18 23 34 44 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 18 23 34 44 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each

5208times
18199times
23214times
34195times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-04

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€35.8Mto 1.4M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • rang184%€30.0M
  • rang85.5%€2.0M
  • rang94.8%€1.7M
  • 6 other tiers5.8%€2.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

215times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 206 of each

5221times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,059 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 23, 34, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 July 2009 — its closest relative in 2,059 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 December 2021): 18 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€30,000,000
  • rang23≈ 3.6 by chance€115,652
  • rang3122≈ 87 by chance€694
  • rang4725≈ 786 by chance€421
  • rang54,248≈ 3.8k by chance€42.90
  • rang632,646≈ 34k by chance€20.10
  • rang762,453≈ 53k by chance€8.10
  • rang8473,103≈ 473k by chance€4.20
  • rang9788,493€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 62,453 winners, 19% more than the 53k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€30,000,000
    rang23€115,652
    rang3122€694
    rang4725€421
    rang54,248€42.90
    rang632,646€20.10
    rang762,453€8.10
    rang8473,103€4.20
    rang9788,493€2.20