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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 6 November 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211133
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 18
  4. 19
  5. 22
  6. 3

Jackpot€18,000,000

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,048 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-11-03All recent draws2021-11-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 4 18 19 22 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 18 19 22 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd9th
  • low99th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each

2206times
4210times
18196times
19194times
22

Prize breakdown · 2021-11-06

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.1Mto 1.3M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • rang612%€595.5K
  • rang835%€1.8M
  • rang928%€1.4M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.42 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

236times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

3203times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,047 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 19, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 March 2021 — its closest relative in 2,047 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

65

The numbers add up to 65 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€18,000,000
  • rang26≈ 3.8 by chance€52,440
  • rang3115≈ 92 by chance€668
  • rang41,069≈ 831 by chance€259
  • rang54,332≈ 4.0k by chance€38.20
  • rang640,238≈ 36k by chance€14.80
  • rang756,226≈ 56k by chance€8.20
  • rang8500,029≈ 500k by chance€3.60
  • rang9657,165€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,069 winners, 29% more than the 831 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€18,000,000
    rang26€52,440
    rang3115€668
    rang41,069€259
    rang54,332€38.20
    rang640,238€14.80
    rang756,226€8.20
    rang8500,029€3.60
    rang9657,165€2.20