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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 23 October 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211127
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 35
  4. 36
  5. 48
  6. 9

Jackpot€12,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,042 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-10-20All recent draws2021-10-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 10 35 36 48 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 35 36 48 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

6210times
10202times
35214times
36209times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.5Mto 952k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€531.4K
  • rang835%€1.6M
  • rang927%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

200times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

9211times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,041 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 10, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 July 2020 — its closest relative in 2,041 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2021): 35 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€12,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.5 by chance€140,520
  • rang346≈ 61 by chance€1,491
  • rang4398≈ 546 by chance€622
  • rang52,260≈ 2.6k by chance€65.40
  • rang620,282≈ 23k by chance€26.20
  • rang737,166≈ 37k by chance€11.10
  • rang8328,659≈ 329k by chance€4.90
  • rang9563,046€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 398 winners, 27% fewer than the 546 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€12,000,000
    rang22€140,520
    rang346€1,491
    rang4398€622
    rang52,260€65.40
    rang620,282€26.20
    rang737,166€11.10
    rang8328,659€4.90
    rang9563,046€2.20