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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 4 September 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211106
  1. 30
  2. 35
  3. 41
  4. 45
  5. 49
  6. 3

Jackpot€23,000,000

The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,021 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-09-01All recent draws2021-09-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official30 35 41 45 49 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed30 35 41 45 49 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

17oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 17 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum100th
  • odd89th
  • low1th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 206 of each

30195times
35209times
41244times
45199times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.0Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang611%€569.8K
  • rang835%€1.7M
  • rang929%€1.4M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

209times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each

3199times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,020 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 45, 49) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 April 2019 — its closest relative in 2,020 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 September 2021): 49 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

200

The numbers add up to 200 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€23,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.4 by chance€301,553
  • rang361≈ 59 by chance€1,207
  • rang4474≈ 527 by chance€560
  • rang52,423≈ 2.5k by chance€65.40
  • rang621,026≈ 23k by chance€27.10
  • rang736,188≈ 35k by chance€12.20
  • rang8317,291≈ 317k by chance€5.50
  • rang9658,245€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 474 winners, 10% fewer than the 527 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€23,000,000
    rang21€301,553
    rang361€1,207
    rang4474€560
    rang52,423€65.40
    rang621,026€27.10
    rang736,188€12.20
    rang8317,291€5.50
    rang9658,245€2.20