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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 4 August 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211093
  1. 20
  2. 21
  3. 22
  4. 36
  5. 44
  6. 10

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,008 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-08-02All recent draws2021-08-07 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official20 21 22 36 44 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed20 21 22 36 44 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

20198times
21192times
22230times
36205times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 477k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang613%€342.0K
  • rang839%€1.0M
  • rang920%€545.0K
  • 4 other tiers28%€744.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

207times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

10192times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,007 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (20, 22, 36, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 January 2021 — its closest relative in 2,007 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2021): 44 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21, 21–22. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.5 by chance€180,844
  • rang320≈ 37 by chance€11,249
  • rang4257≈ 331 by chance€619
  • rang51,060≈ 1.6k by chance€89.70
  • rang612,170≈ 14k by chance€28.10
  • rang716,547≈ 22k by chance€16.00
  • rang8199,394≈ 199k by chance€5.20
  • rang9247,746€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,060 winners, 33% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang20€180,844
    rang320€11,249
    rang4257€619
    rang51,060€89.70
    rang612,170€28.10
    rang716,547€16.00
    rang8199,394€5.20
    rang9247,746€2.20