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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 24 July 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211088
  1. 5
  2. 22
  3. 24
  4. 31
  5. 40
  6. 9

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 2% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,003 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-07-21All recent draws2021-07-26 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 22 24 31 40 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 22 24 31 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

79oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 79 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

5201times
22228times
24202times
31207times
40

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€6.5Mto 780k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang146%€3.0M
  • rang819%€1.3M
  • rang914%€943.8K
  • 6 other tiers20%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

205times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

9206times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,002 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 22, 24, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 August 2009 — its closest relative in 2,002 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.2 by chance€221,414
  • rang338≈ 55 by chance€1,422
  • rang4439≈ 493 by chance€444
  • rang52,140≈ 2.4k by chance€54.40
  • rang620,341≈ 21k by chance€20.60
  • rang731,806≈ 33k by chance€10.20
  • rang8296,652≈ 297k by chance€4.30
  • rang9429,013€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,140 winners, 9% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€3,000,000
    rang21€221,414
    rang338€1,422
    rang4439€444
    rang52,140€54.40
    rang620,341€20.60
    rang731,806€10.20
    rang8296,652€4.30
    rang9429,013€2.20