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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 5 July 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211080
  1. 3
  2. 32
  3. 36
  4. 43
  5. 45
  6. 2

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,995 of 2,999 under them

← 2021-07-03All recent draws2021-07-07 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 32 36 43 45 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 32 36 43 45 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

3205times
32192times
36203times
43205times
45

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-05

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 484k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang612%€328.1K
  • rang838%€1.0M
  • rang923%€620.2K
  • 5 other tiers27%€713.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

197times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 199 of each

2181times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,994 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 36, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 June 2014 — its closest relative in 1,994 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.3 by chance€57,793
  • rang327≈ 32 by chance€1,567
  • rang4195≈ 288 by chance€783
  • rang51,115≈ 1.4k by chance€81.80
  • rang610,759≈ 12k by chance€30.50
  • rang716,098≈ 19k by chance€15.80
  • rang8173,580≈ 174k by chance€5.80
  • rang9281,888€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,115 winners, 19% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€11,000,000
    rang23€57,793
    rang327€1,567
    rang4195€783
    rang51,115€81.80
    rang610,759€30.50
    rang716,098€15.80
    rang8173,580€5.80
    rang9281,888€2.20