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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 19 April 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211047
  1. 17
  2. 27
  3. 36
  4. 44
  5. 49
  6. 1

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 26% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,962 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-04-17All recent draws2021-04-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official17 27 36 44 49 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed17 27 36 44 49 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

17205times
27203times
36198times
44197times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-19

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 406k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang613%€287.3K
  • rang839%€872.7K
  • rang920%€450.9K
  • 5 other tiers28%€625.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

203times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

1210times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,961 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 44, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 November 2020 — its closest relative in 1,961 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 April 2021): 17 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.3 by chance€75,984
  • rang322≈ 32 by chance€1,686
  • rang4246≈ 290 by chance€544
  • rang5949≈ 1.4k by chance€84.20
  • rang611,872≈ 12k by chance€24.20
  • rang713,833≈ 19k by chance€16.10
  • rang8174,546≈ 175k by chance€5.00
  • rang9204,954€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 949 winners, 31% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang22€75,984
    rang322€1,686
    rang4246€544
    rang5949€84.20
    rang611,872€24.20
    rang713,833€16.10
    rang8174,546€5.00
    rang9204,954€2.20