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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 14 April 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211045
  1. 20
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 27
  5. 47
  6. 6

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,960 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-04-12All recent draws2021-04-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official20 23 25 27 47 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed20 23 25 27 47 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

20196times
23209times
25185times
27202times
47

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-14

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 606k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€337.6K
  • rang836%€1.0M
  • rang926%€725.1K
  • 4 other tiers26%€735.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

190times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

6174times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,959 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (23, 25, 27, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 May 2013 — its closest relative in 1,959 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 April 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.8 by chance€178,818
  • rang343≈ 43 by chance€5,174
  • rang4308≈ 386 by chance€511
  • rang51,869≈ 1.8k by chance€50.30
  • rang615,416≈ 17k by chance€21.90
  • rang726,426≈ 26k by chance€9.90
  • rang8232,338≈ 232k by chance€4.40
  • rang9329,600€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 15,416 winners, 7% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€178,818
    rang343€5,174
    rang4308€511
    rang51,869€50.30
    rang615,416€21.90
    rang726,426€9.90
    rang8232,338€4.40
    rang9329,600€2.20