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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 3 April 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211040
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 17
  4. 38
  5. 45
  6. 2

Jackpot€10,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,955 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-03-31All recent draws2021-04-05 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 2 17 38 45 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 17 38 45 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 199 of each

1213times
2196times
17203times
38214times
45

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-03

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.4Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • rang612%€663.7K
  • rang837%€2.0M
  • rang924%€1.3M
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

2179times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,954 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 17, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 February 2021 — its closest relative in 1,954 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 March 2021): 2 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,000,000
  • rang23≈ 3.2 by chance€116,910
  • rang353≈ 77 by chance€1,615
  • rang4509≈ 694 by chance€607
  • rang52,647≈ 3.3k by chance€69.70
  • rang625,626≈ 30k by chance€25.90
  • rang741,983≈ 46k by chance€12.30
  • rang8417,684≈ 418k by chance€4.80
  • rang9579,007€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 509 winners, 27% fewer than the 694 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€10,000,000
    rang23€116,910
    rang353€1,615
    rang4509€607
    rang52,647€69.70
    rang625,626€25.90
    rang741,983€12.30
    rang8417,684€4.80
    rang9579,007€2.20