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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 30 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211013
  1. 5
  2. 9
  3. 17
  4. 33
  5. 37
  6. 4

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,928 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-01-27All recent draws2021-02-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 9 17 33 37 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 9 17 33 37 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd99th
  • low65th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 197 of each

5196times
9198times
17198times
33206times
37

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-30

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.0Mto 934k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • rang612%€475.0K
  • rang836%€1.4M
  • rang927%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

193times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

4193times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,927 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 17, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 May 2020 — its closest relative in 1,927 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.8 by chance€50,279
  • rang356≈ 69 by chance€1,096
  • rang4671≈ 617 by chance€330
  • rang52,996≈ 2.9k by chance€44.10
  • rang628,613≈ 27k by chance€16.60
  • rang739,647≈ 41k by chance€9.30
  • rang8371,400≈ 371k by chance€3.90
  • rang9490,212€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 671 winners, 9% more than the 617 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang25€50,279
    rang356€1,096
    rang4671€330
    rang52,996€44.10
    rang628,613€16.60
    rang739,647€9.30
    rang8371,400€3.90
    rang9490,212€2.20