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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 16 January 2021

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20211007
  1. 14
  2. 20
  3. 22
  4. 36
  5. 44
  6. 2

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,922 of 3,001 under them

← 2021-01-13All recent draws2021-01-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official14 20 22 36 44 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed14 20 22 36 44 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd1th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 196 of each

14192times
20194times
22217times
36196times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.4Mto 882k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • rang612%€532.9K
  • rang837%€1.6M
  • rang924%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

193times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

2176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,921 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 36, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 October 2019 — its closest relative in 1,921 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.6 by chance€282,200
  • rang376≈ 63 by chance€906
  • rang4557≈ 566 by chance€446
  • rang52,426≈ 2.7k by chance€61.10
  • rang623,475≈ 24k by chance€22.70
  • rang734,442≈ 38k by chance€12.00
  • rang8340,730≈ 341k by chance€4.80
  • rang9480,474€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,426 winners, 10% fewer than the 2.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang21€282,200
    rang376€906
    rang4557€446
    rang52,426€61.10
    rang623,475€22.70
    rang734,442€12.00
    rang8340,730€4.80
    rang9480,474€2.20