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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 26 December 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200155
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 31
  4. 35
  5. 40
  6. 7

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,913 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-12-23All recent draws2020-12-28 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 3 31 35 40 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 31 35 40 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

2194times
3193times
31194times
35201times
40

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-26

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.8Mto 968k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang610%€373.8K
  • rang830%€1.1M
  • rang939%€1.5M
  • 4 other tiers21%€812.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

199times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

7216times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,912 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 3, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 July 2020 — its closest relative in 1,912 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 December 2020): 3, 31 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.9 by chance€197,736
  • rang334≈ 45 by chance€7,235
  • rang4228≈ 408 by chance€763
  • rang51,924≈ 1.9k by chance€54.00
  • rang613,794≈ 18k by chance€27.10
  • rang737,511≈ 27k by chance€7.70
  • rang8245,656≈ 246k by chance€4.60
  • rang9668,771€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 37,511 winners, 37% more than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€197,736
    rang334€7,235
    rang4228€763
    rang51,924€54.00
    rang613,794€27.10
    rang737,511€7.70
    rang8245,656€4.60
    rang9668,771€2.20