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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 4 November 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200133
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 16
  5. 29
  6. 1

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld 67% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,891 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-11-02All recent draws2020-11-07 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 10 14 16 29 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 14 16 29 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

9193times
10188times
14186times
16207times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-11-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.2Mto 674k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang613%€405.2K
  • rang839%€1.2M
  • rang920%€637.7K
  • 5 other tiers28%€885.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

206times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

1202times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,890 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 10, 14) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 June 2019 — its closest relative in 1,890 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 November 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

78

The numbers add up to 78 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 44 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.5 by chance€42,958
  • rang350≈ 60 by chance€1,049
  • rang4736≈ 543 by chance€257
  • rang52,235≈ 2.6k by chance€50.50
  • rang627,379≈ 23k by chance€14.80
  • rang726,357≈ 36k by chance€12.00
  • rang8327,123≈ 327k by chance€3.80
  • rang9289,873€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 736 winners, 35% more than the 543 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€14,000,000
    rang25€42,958
    rang350€1,049
    rang4736€257
    rang52,235€50.50
    rang627,379€14.80
    rang726,357€12.00
    rang8327,123€3.80
    rang9289,873€2.20