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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 28 October 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200130
  1. 2
  2. 19
  3. 25
  4. 30
  5. 43
  6. 9

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,888 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-10-26All recent draws2020-10-31 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 19 25 30 43 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 19 25 30 43 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

2191times
19175times
25181times
30186times
43

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 662k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang612%€361.4K
  • rang836%€1.1M
  • rang926%€797.6K
  • 5 other tiers26%€785.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

197times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

9189times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,887 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 25, 30) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 December 2018 — its closest relative in 1,887 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 October 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.9 by chance€63,693
  • rang334≈ 47 by chance€1,372
  • rang4419≈ 419 by chance€401
  • rang51,937≈ 2.0k by chance€51.80
  • rang617,889≈ 18k by chance€20.20
  • rang727,354≈ 28k by chance€10.20
  • rang8252,062≈ 252k by chance€4.40
  • rang9362,524€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,937 winners, 3% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€11,000,000
    rang23€63,693
    rang334€1,372
    rang4419€401
    rang51,937€51.80
    rang617,889€20.20
    rang727,354€10.20
    rang8252,062€4.40
    rang9362,524€2.20