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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 10 October 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200122
  1. 26
  2. 31
  3. 42
  4. 47
  5. 48
  6. 8

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,880 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-10-07All recent draws2020-10-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official26 31 42 47 48 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed26 31 42 47 48 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd32th
  • low1th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

26199times
31188times
42176times
47180times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 800k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang611%€443.1K
  • rang835%€1.4M
  • rang929%€1.1M
  • 4 other tiers25%€966.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

184times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

8170times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,879 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 47, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 May 2016 — its closest relative in 1,879 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

194

The numbers add up to 194 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.9 by chance€234,430
  • rang346≈ 46 by chance€6,340
  • rang4297≈ 410 by chance€695
  • rang51,821≈ 2.0k by chance€67.70
  • rang614,623≈ 18k by chance€30.30
  • rang730,004≈ 27k by chance€11.50
  • rang8246,619≈ 247k by chance€5.50
  • rang9506,239€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 14,623 winners, 17% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang20€234,430
    rang346€6,340
    rang4297€695
    rang51,821€67.70
    rang614,623€30.30
    rang730,004€11.50
    rang8246,619€5.50
    rang9506,239€2.20