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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 3 October 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200119
  1. 9
  2. 18
  3. 31
  4. 33
  5. 36
  6. 2

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,877 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-09-30All recent draws2020-10-05 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 18 31 33 36 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 18 31 33 36 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

9189times
18181times
31187times
33200times
36

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 826k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€514.2K
  • rang838%€1.6M
  • rang923%€960.5K
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

193times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

2173times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,876 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 18, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 February 2019 — its closest relative in 1,876 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.5 by chance€135,860
  • rang343≈ 61 by chance€1,542
  • rang4449≈ 553 by chance€533
  • rang52,004≈ 2.6k by chance€71.30
  • rang622,957≈ 24k by chance€22.40
  • rang730,739≈ 37k by chance€13.00
  • rang8333,183≈ 333k by chance€4.70
  • rang9436,570€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,004 winners, 24% fewer than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang22€135,860
    rang343€1,542
    rang4449€533
    rang52,004€71.30
    rang622,957€22.40
    rang730,739€13.00
    rang8333,183€4.70
    rang9436,570€2.20