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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 26 September 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200116
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 31
  4. 39
  5. 49
  6. 9

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,874 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-09-23All recent draws2020-09-28 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 8 31 39 49 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 31 39 49 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum58th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

4194times
8166times
31186times
39169times
49

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-26

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 832k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang612%€459.4K
  • rang836%€1.4M
  • rang927%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

193times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

9188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,873 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 8, 31, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 September 2009 — its closest relative in 1,873 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.3 by chance€81,089
  • rang335≈ 55 by chance€1,696
  • rang4356≈ 499 by chance€602
  • rang52,080≈ 2.4k by chance€61.50
  • rang618,905≈ 21k by chance€24.30
  • rang733,163≈ 33k by chance€10.80
  • rang8300,181≈ 300k by chance€4.70
  • rang9477,612€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,080 winners, 13% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang23€81,089
    rang335€1,696
    rang4356€602
    rang52,080€61.50
    rang618,905€24.30
    rang733,163€10.80
    rang8300,181€4.70
    rang9477,612€2.20