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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 14 September 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200111
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 23
  4. 32
  5. 49
  6. 2

Jackpot€10,000,000

The crowdHeld 33% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,869 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-09-12All recent draws2020-09-16 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 13 23 32 49 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 23 32 49 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

5187times
13219times
23201times
32181times
49

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€12.7Mto 570k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang179%€10.0M
  • rang88.1%€1.0M
  • rang94.8%€609.1K
  • 6 other tiers8.4%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

191times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

2171times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,868 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 23, 32, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 March 2012 — its closest relative in 1,868 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.9 by chance€59,046
  • rang346≈ 46 by chance€940
  • rang4512≈ 414 by chance€305
  • rang51,628≈ 2.0k by chance€57.20
  • rang619,511≈ 18k by chance€17.10
  • rang721,838≈ 28k by chance€11.90
  • rang8249,394≈ 249k by chance€4.10
  • rang9276,843€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 21,838 winners, 21% fewer than the 28k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€10,000,000
    rang23€59,046
    rang346€940
    rang4512€305
    rang51,628€57.20
    rang619,511€17.10
    rang721,838€11.90
    rang8249,394€4.10
    rang9276,843€2.20