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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 15 July 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200085
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 12
  4. 35
  5. 44
  6. 3

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,843 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-07-13All recent draws2020-07-18 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 6 12 35 44 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 12 35 44 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

4188times
6186times
12176times
35191times
44

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 628k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang611%€298.5K
  • rang835%€906.4K
  • rang929%€769.5K
  • 5 other tiers25%€652.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

187times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

3182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,842 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 12, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 May 2020 — its closest relative in 1,842 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 July 2020): 35 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang23≈ 1.8 by chance€52,836
  • rang343≈ 43 by chance€900
  • rang4371≈ 386 by chance€376
  • rang51,848≈ 1.8k by chance€45.10
  • rang616,676≈ 17k by chance€17.90
  • rang727,282≈ 26k by chance€8.50
  • rang8232,404≈ 232k by chance€3.90
  • rang9349,750€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 27,282 winners, 6% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang23€52,836
    rang343€900
    rang4371€376
    rang51,848€45.10
    rang616,676€17.90
    rang727,282€8.50
    rang8232,404€3.90
    rang9349,750€2.20