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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 11 July 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200083
  1. 6
  2. 28
  3. 32
  4. 35
  5. 40
  6. 7

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,841 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-07-08All recent draws2020-07-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 28 32 35 40 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 28 32 35 40 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

6185times
28184times
32178times
35189times
40

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.7Mto 940k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang610%€357.7K
  • rang830%€1.1M
  • rang939%€1.4M
  • 5 other tiers21%€779.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

194times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

7208times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,840 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 28, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 June 2020 — its closest relative in 1,840 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.8 by chance€94,726
  • rang329≈ 44 by chance€1,595
  • rang4334≈ 396 by chance€499
  • rang52,149≈ 1.9k by chance€46.30
  • rang615,157≈ 17k by chance€23.60
  • rang735,519≈ 26k by chance€7.80
  • rang8238,189≈ 238k by chance€4.60
  • rang9648,602€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 35,519 winners, 34% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang22€94,726
    rang329€1,595
    rang4334€499
    rang52,149€46.30
    rang615,157€23.60
    rang735,519€7.80
    rang8238,189€4.60
    rang9648,602€2.20