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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 4 July 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200080
  1. 13
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 36
  5. 44
  6. 6

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,838 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-07-01All recent draws2020-07-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official13 23 27 36 44 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed13 23 27 36 44 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

13216times
23197times
27193times
36192times
44

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.7Mto 810k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • rang612%€453.0K
  • rang837%€1.4M
  • rang925%€924.3K
  • 5 other tiers26%€987.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

186times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

6166times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,837 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 27, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 November 2019 — its closest relative in 1,837 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 July 2020): 13, 44 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.5 by chance€239,725
  • rang372≈ 61 by chance€813
  • rang4583≈ 547 by chance€362
  • rang52,424≈ 2.6k by chance€52.00
  • rang624,486≈ 24k by chance€18.50
  • rang733,207≈ 37k by chance€10.60
  • rang8329,130≈ 329k by chance€4.20
  • rang9420,142€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 33,207 winners, 9% fewer than the 37k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€239,725
    rang372€813
    rang4583€362
    rang52,424€52.00
    rang624,486€18.50
    rang733,207€10.60
    rang8329,130€4.20
    rang9420,142€2.20