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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 22 April 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200049
  1. 28
  2. 30
  3. 40
  4. 41
  5. 43
  6. 7

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 49% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,807 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-04-20All recent draws2020-04-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official28 30 40 41 43 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed28 30 40 41 43 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 April 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd32th
  • low1th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

28181times
30177times
40193times
41221times
43

Prize breakdown · 2020-04-22

  • Lines in play≈ 2.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€10.5Mto 636k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • rang176%€8.0M
  • rang87.0%€739.1K
  • rang99.4%€983.4K
  • 6 other tiers7.4%€776.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

191times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 181 of each

7203times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,806 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (28, 30, 40, 41) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 January 2011 — its closest relative in 1,806 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 April 2020): 41 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

182

The numbers add up to 182 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang26≈ 1.2 by chance€21,543
  • rang330≈ 28 by chance€1,052
  • rang4234≈ 256 by chance€486
  • rang51,445≈ 1.2k by chance€47.00
  • rang69,999≈ 11k by chance€24.40
  • rang723,779≈ 17k by chance€8.00
  • rang8153,983≈ 154k by chance€4.80
  • rang9446,985€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 23,779 winners, 39% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€8,000,000
    rang26€21,543
    rang330€1,052
    rang4234€486
    rang51,445€47.00
    rang69,999€24.40
    rang723,779€8.00
    rang8153,983€4.80
    rang9446,985€2.20