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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 11 April 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200044
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 41
  4. 43
  5. 48
  6. 7

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 43% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,802 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-04-08All recent draws2020-04-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 8 41 43 48 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 41 43 48 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 April 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

1200times
8160times
41219times
43190times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-04-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 786k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang610%€299.7K
  • rang830%€923.7K
  • rang938%€1.2M
  • 4 other tiers21%€653.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

175times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 180 of each

7202times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,801 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 8, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 October 2018 — its closest relative in 1,801 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 April 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.5 by chance€158,532
  • rang326≈ 38 by chance€7,586
  • rang4226≈ 341 by chance€618
  • rang51,829≈ 1.6k by chance€45.50
  • rang612,386≈ 15k by chance€24.20
  • rang732,395≈ 23k by chance€7.20
  • rang8205,275≈ 205k by chance€4.50
  • rang9533,590€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 32,395 winners, 42% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang20€158,532
    rang326€7,586
    rang4226€618
    rang51,829€45.50
    rang612,386€24.20
    rang732,395€7.20
    rang8205,275€4.50
    rang9533,590€2.20