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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 25 March 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200037
  1. 24
  2. 32
  3. 34
  4. 40
  5. 45
  6. 1

Jackpot€19,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,795 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-03-23All recent draws2020-03-28 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official24 32 34 40 45 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed24 32 34 40 45 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

24179times
32174times
34172times
40191times
45

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-25

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 399k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • rang613%€300.9K
  • rang839%€915.6K
  • rang921%€494.2K
  • 4 other tiers28%€656.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

180times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

1194times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,794 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 40, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 December 2019 — its closest relative in 1,794 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 March 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€19,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.1 by chance€159,406
  • rang321≈ 28 by chance€9,443
  • rang4227≈ 249 by chance€618
  • rang5867≈ 1.2k by chance€96.70
  • rang610,447≈ 11k by chance€28.80
  • rang712,396≈ 17k by chance€18.90
  • rang8150,100≈ 150k by chance€6.10
  • rang9224,623€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 867 winners, 27% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€19,000,000
    rang20€159,406
    rang321€9,443
    rang4227€618
    rang5867€96.70
    rang610,447€28.80
    rang712,396€18.90
    rang8150,100€6.10
    rang9224,623€2.20