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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 9 March 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200030
  1. 5
  2. 26
  3. 33
  4. 41
  5. 42
  6. 7

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 44% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,788 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-03-07All recent draws2020-03-11 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 26 33 41 42 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 26 33 41 42 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 182 of each

5175times
26186times
33191times
41216times
42

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-09

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 568k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • rang148%€2.0M
  • rang815%€640.7K
  • rang920%€851.7K
  • 5 other tiers16%€671.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

162times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

7200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,787 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 26, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 August 2019 — its closest relative in 1,787 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2020): 5 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

147

The numbers add up to 147 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.1 by chance€112,027
  • rang324≈ 27 by chance€5,807
  • rang4199≈ 242 by chance€496
  • rang51,454≈ 1.2k by chance€40.50
  • rang69,149≈ 10k by chance€23.10
  • rang724,006≈ 16k by chance€6.80
  • rang8145,621≈ 146k by chance€4.40
  • rang9387,115€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 24,006 winners, 48% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang20€112,027
    rang324€5,807
    rang4199€496
    rang51,454€40.50
    rang69,149€23.10
    rang724,006€6.80
    rang8145,621€4.40
    rang9387,115€2.20